Woosh – viable or not?

Woosh made a $24m loss on operating revenue of just $10.4m. Operating revenue (which is net sales) was actually down slightly on the previous year, while EBITDA was $12m. Clearly some interest and depreciation in there, which they say is related to network investment.

Despite a claim that it will break even this year, these are lousy numbers  – expenses are double the income, income is falling and meanwhile there is a whole bunch of capital being spent. Shareholders should be looking pretty hard at the business case for continuing, and remembering that price advantages will be eroded as the telcos wake up to the potential of IP via cell-phone.

For all that I’m glad Woosh is around – it’s a great service if you stay in the city centers.

NZHerald – resorting to google ads

The good news is that NZHerald is loading super quickly today. The not so good news for APN is that they are using Google ads instead of more lucrative display ads.

nzherald with google ads vertical ad detail

I’d be really interested whether they are generating real revenue out of those Google ads, but I suspect not after looking at the advertisers. Qantas is present, but the rest of the ads I saw are very small players – and they may be shocked by their increase in traffic and fees.

This has to be a temporary thing while APN fixes the ad server issue. I can’t find another decently sized newspaper that uses Google ads exclusively – not even Google News.

Smart nimble advertisers will use this as a quick way to get cheap exposure in the NZHerald. The threat to incumbents is that this will kick-start Google ads in New Zealand… Or is this sign of an incipient partnership with APN? now that would really throw the market..

on counting correctly

Realestate.co.nz state on their homepage that they are “featuring over 75,000 properties”.

Actually, if you add up the listings, they have just 71,522.

Seek.co.nz state on their homepage that they have “12,242 jobs online”.

Actually if you hit the search button they show just 11,836 jobs.

Search4jobs.co.nz show 6,586 jobs if you hit the search button from the homepage.

Actually, if you hit the search button again, there are “6,522 matches”

Trade Me Jobs show 3,185 jobs on the Trade Me homepage

Actually, if you hit the search button there are 3,186

Trade Me Motors show 38,104 cars on the Trade Me homepage

Actually, if you hit the search button there are 38,106

All of these numbers move – except for the realestate.co.nz 75,000 number, which is unchanging. Numbers are as at 9:45pm to 9:55pm, 2nd Jan, 2006.

The Trade Me homepage numbers were correct a couple of minutes later, but meanwhile the search results numbers changed. It appears that the homepage number is only generated every minute or three, which is fair as the results are essentially the same, and the database burden of a real-time result would be relatively large.

The Seek and Search4Jobs differences may be explained by different queries used to generate the two numbers – which if true should be fixed.

The realestate.co.nz hard coded number could well be classified as misleading advertising – there simply are not 75,000 listings.

getting directions

wises.co.nz – it would be nice if your website driving direction feature actually worked on New Years Eve – after all lots of people are travelling. Multimap is guilty of being down as well – in fact only (strangely enough) Yellow Pages worked right now, which uses Multimap and does provide weird results.

It seems that getting driving directions online is yet to work properly in NZ.
It would be nice if other websites offered driving directions… for example, it would be logical, wouldn’t it, if AA offered online maps.

Yahoo! Personals NZ?

With the coming of Yahoo!xtra to New Zealand, will we see the entry of Yahoo! personals? There is an Australian version already, and it seems a gimme to at least give it a serious try in NZ. The Australian site states that it is a place to find Kiwi’s as well, but there are not that many Kiwi profiles there, and the nz.personals.yahoo.com url does not work.

The Kiwi dating market is divided between NZDating and FindSomeone, and it will be pretty hard to make serious headway against their critical masses. There is a little overlap between NZDating and FSO – just 18% of Findsomeone browsers go to NZDating (which is the bigger site by UB’s and PV’s), and 11.6% of NZDating browsers to to Findsomeone.*

The reason is that the two sites target and attract different ends of the market – FSO attracts those looking for serious relationships, while NZDating attracts, in general, a more transactional bunch. They are both good sites.

Yahoo! Personals appears to target the masses, and the site is pretty slick. However the pricing in Australia is steep by NZDating standards – $25 for one month down to $13.75 per month for 6 months. So they fit between the two incumbant sites, and would have to attract people from both sites for critical mass.

Dating is not a winner-take-all market, but you do need critical mass, and you do need a source of new members. Critical mass is hard to generate in the small cities and towns of little New Zealand, while attracting new members requires great word of mouth experiences backed by advertising spend. It will be a hard road for Yahoo!

*Net Neilsen, November 2006.

NZ Shop – update

three new bits of information 1: T’s and C’s for NZShop les through Ferrit states that DVD’s ‘usualy ship 5-10 days’ after order, which implies that NZShop does not hold inventory. Good move.

2: a quick search of the companies.govt.nz website shows that NZShop has been around since 1995, which is pretty cool, and that NZShop’s address is in an industrial area. Amusingly google maps shows it to be a vacant lot, which means it is a new building..

3:  One of the directors is also about, it seems, to launch a price comparison site – priceme

NZHerald Safari woes

My woes with NZHerald and Safari continue. It seems that if the wrong ads are served then the page just will not load.

Good ads:

Fly Buy’s perfect present generator – Flash, but static

Bad ads:

Everything else, including “Emirates” flash horror, Rialto Channel, “Big Wednesday”, Ferrit… Even “Velux” – seems to be a static GIF, but the property page where it resides just will not load.

The Effect:

It changes – but basically the effect is to block access to the sections of NZHerald that have the dodgy ads. Today that means everything except for the front page is unviewable – unless I reload the page incessantly. Given that I read all of my news & blogs via Safari, that means that NZHerald is dropping off my radar. Remember that pretty much everyone that reads the Herald also reads Stuff, and that Apple owners are a pretty interesting and influential demographic group…

Getting the basics right…

In the US the universities led the Internet charge. The same in NZ, afaik. I recall at Massey in the late 80’s, a friend introducing me to the mysteriously cool “internet” and “email”. Sadly, on the surface at least, things have changed for the worse here.

One of the most basic tests to assess the cluefulness of a website is whether it needs the “www” to resolve. Sadly massey.ac.nz and canterbury.ac.nz do not resolve. These are our supposed internet pathfinders and the educators of our future IT talent.

The rest of the universities work – waikato.ac.nz, vuw.ac.nz, lincoln.ac.nz, auckland.ac.nz and otago.ac.nz.

More promisingly waikato.co.nzvuw.co.nz, and aut.co.nz also work.

Otago.co.nz goes to a regional tourism site – a bit iffy but seemingly semi-legit.

But massey.co.nz is “bad host”, and stunningly lincoln.co.nz goes to a domainz ‘future site’ page and canterbury.co.nz and auckland.co.nz resolve to dodgy link spammers. No doubt there is a lot of history around these, but seriously – for Auckland and Canterbury regions and Universities not to have control of their own .co.nz domains is truly terrible. (forgive me if I don’t link to the link spammers)

It gets worse – http://www.otago.govt.nz, and the similar Canterbury and Auckland urls also do not resolve – so there is nothing there!

So three pleas….

1: Everyone – please lose the dependence on typing the redundant “www” by making your website resolve correctly

2: Regions and Universities – please take back control of your domains in all suffixes.

3: and Kiwi Advertisers – please drop the “dub dub dub”. It’s aggravating, demeaning and redundant.

NZShop economics

Here’s a tilt at NZShop’s financial’s, based on essentially no information.

My last order confirmation number from NZShop was over 62000. If this is the total number of orders ever, and the average sales price is $50 (they seem to be all about DVDs), then that’s a total of $3.1m in sales (Say a reasonable range of $1.8-$4m).

If their margins are 5% then they have had gross profit to date of between $100 and $200k.

If their margins are 10% then they have had gross profit to date of between $200 and $400k. (I’m making these margin numbers up – no cheating by looking at past client numbers)

I have no idea of how long they have been around, or what their inventory arrangement is. If they are holding stock then this is a marginally viable business at best unless they are the world’s best stock pickers – DVD prices fall over time for the popular items. If they are not holding stock then they probably do not have a price advantage, so sales are lower. I’m assuming that DVD’s are like CD’s and only cheap if you buy them in bulk. Perhaps they are backed by a retail store or chain?

Pricing

Bro Town Series 3 is selling for $34.95 – the same price as on Real Groovy, but shipping appears free on Real Groovy and is $6 on NZShop. Interestingly it is also on Trade Me for $31.46 + $3.50 shipping from seller “aklrealgroovy“. Marbecks charges $33.99, (+$4 if you order less than $50 total) and gpstore $34.95 + $3.95 shipping.

So NZShop is, on a sample of 1 item, expensive – the most expensive in New Zealand. That makes for better margins for them, although I daresay that Real Groovy should be getting better wholesale prices, so call it even.

The site is pretty low rent, and there is no information about who is behind NZShop on the site. Perhaps this is even a solo trader working from a garage or bedroom and sourcing from a wholesaler or The Warehouse – if so that’s really good business.

If they are paying reasonable rent and for multiple staff then the economics rapidly get much tougher, more so if they have good amounts of google ads out there. I’m in aussie right now so won’t be seeing any of those (though I get gpstore.com.au).

In summary – great business if there is no inventory, not so great if they are holding and aging inventory and are paying real costs. (and I may have got this all wrong)

AeroPress Coffee and Espresso Maker – in NZ

Rather amazingly NZShop.com has the Aeropress Coffee Maker for sale.

This is an awesome bit of kit for those who want great coffee every time (including crema), and don’t feel the need to drop $2000 on an Italian machina. Perfect for work if you have lousy coffee there, and of course for home, where I have mine. I bought mine from the USA, using Shipbuktu to send it here, but it is great to see that they are now easy to buy locally.

Improving print readership measurement

APN and Fairfax are joining forces to commission a review on the way Print Readership Research is done in New Zealand. They are looking their own requirements, and that of their advertisers, rather than at changing vendors.

Good on them.

It would be doubly interesting if the review could somehow relate online readership to print readership – and give us all a way to have metrics that are directly comparable.

If I read Stuff online one day and buy the Dominion Post the next then how am I counted?  One reader total? One reader for each medium?

How do we track how much we are reading as a population? – the theory being that people are reading more news as it migrates online. Can we track overall readership of individual articles or different bylines no matter what the reader is looking at? An how does this all relate to advertising?

Could we create online equivilent ‘readers’ – and categorise online UB’s as readers based on, say, the amount of articles read or time spent reading in a period?

Then the question is how much reading online (1 article? 5 articles? 5 minutes?, 10 minutes) is equivalent to a daily newspaper reader? For that matter – how much of the newpaper do subscribers actually read now – do we know?