Factoids from the 2007 Digital fact pack

Adage has published the ‘2007 Digital Fact Pack‘, where you can glean vital tidbits such as:

 Online display advertising was $9.77bn in 2006 according to ‘TNS Media Intelligence’….

…..and about $4.9bn according to ‘eMarketer’. One number would have been useful, two numbers is a joke.

eMarketer projects 2007 Display ad and rich media/video revenue of $6.45 bn, and search of $8.3bn

and apparently 2011 Display ad and rich media/video revenue will be $12.45bn, while search will be $16.2bn…

Yahoo has 128.6m visitors per month, and Google is third largest after Time Warner (AOL) on 115m visitors a month. USA’s population is 300m.

Yahoo! visitors average 281 minutes, Time Warner’s 270 minutes and Google’s just 74 minutes each month.

Yahoo.com pulls in the most display ad revenue – $1.16bn, while Microsoft is second ($939m) and AOL third ($779m). Google owns the search revenue of course.

The biggest categories for receiving ad revenue are:

Portals & search engines              $1.3bn
Business Finance and Investing  $900m
News and current events              $766m
Sports                                              $715m
Local news and guides                  $689m

But those top 5 only account for 45% of the total ad spend – there are a lot of categories out there.

and finally from this hodgepodge of data, an astonishing 36% of Americans are not online, but of the rest 75% are broadband users. There really are two classes over there, but this makes for a wildly different internet experience for both users and more importantly content creators.

Cookies per computer

An average of 2.5 cookies were found per home computer in a US Survey [hat tip attentionmax] by Comscore. It seems that 31% of people delete their cookies at least once during the month*, and 7% delete them 4 times or more.

Let’s see how that works in NZ.

NetRatings shows there were 6.1m domestic unique browsers in March. There are only 4.1m of us here, so clearly that is too high.

6.1m domestic browsers/ 2.5 cookies per browser = 2.45m computers that accessed the internet in March, assuming that work and home computers have the same cookie deletion rates.

That’s computers. We should remove cases where people have more than one computer. Actually we should just count the number of cookies per person.**

We should increase the number for situations where multiple people use one computer (flats and some places of work) and reduce the number for people with both a work and home computer.

Overall this does not really matter as long as the industry is settled on how many people total are online, and how the pageviews and UB’s divide amongst the sites. The industry, aside from holdout YahooXtra, is settled on these things.
*By the way – I’m guessing that a significant reason for the deletions is computers crashing.

**I did this at Trade Me a few months back. Can’t state the results sorry. But Net Neilsen shows 3.6m total traffic UB’s for March for Trade Me. Trade Me shows 1.6m active members, who are not necessarily active each month.

Underpaid Kiwi executives

There are a few million dollar earning executives in NZ – and the Herald’s Owen Hembry believes that we are now on par with Australia, but that there is a gap underneath that.

While we have a handful of CEO level people being paid well, there is a big payment hole in the next two layers down. Look around the advertisements online or in the papers – and count how many jobs there are for over $200k per year. How many over $400k? Not many. Indeed Trade Me Jobs salary ranges max out at “over $120k” (174 jobs) and while Seek doesn’t let you search by income, it’s executive section starts at just $80k, and there are only 25 listings in Auckland and 5 in Wellington. (That’s right – Trade Me has more top end jobs than Seek).

I would guess (or hope) that many of the mid tier ($200k+) jobs get placed by headhunters, but this is not a great way to attract back expats, who would not be plugged into the networks here.

When Government jobs are paying more than private sector jobs, that shows we have a real issue with our private sector. The Sheffield survey says that the median CEO income here is $250k, which is $185k USD, or about what year 2 consultant or lawyer in a top US firm would earn. That doesn’t leave a lot of headway for the year 6 consultants or lawyers, or senior corporate types.

Now Boards and CEO’s may think this underpaying is ok, as it keeps costs down viz a viz overseas, but it is not. It slows their medium and long term growth as there is a talent gap between them and their overseas competition. That talent gap is hard to quantify, but looking at the state of our various industries versus their overseas counterparts is an easy place to start. Customer service is generally pretty good, but strategy and growth are not.

There is a prodigious amount of Kiwi born talent scattered throughout the world – the ones that went on their OE and never seemed to come back. Many of these folk try to come back, or at least visit and scope out the scene every so often, but the problem is that there is nothing here.

Companies believe they can get away with it as there is the ever-present ‘Kiwi lifestyle’ that means you can underpay people here. In the short term that may be true, but companies are crippling their growth by not attracting and retaining the best people, and to do that they need to open their checkbooks.

Underpay at your peril

Housing roller coaster ready to plunge

This is amazing – some wag has plotted Robert Shiller’s series of US housing prices on a roller coaster. Do check it out – it is an amazing way to see a data series.

Follow along and marvel as you go up and down and up and down. However, be afraid as the final long long section goes only up, and leaves you on the edge looking back as the much lower historical values…

or just look at the NYTimes chart….

NYTimes

Are journalists required online?

At least this editorial addresses the issue, but Rob O’Neill doesn’t close the loop.

As Rob points out the addition of community features is no substitute for decent writing from professionals. My additional belief is that as publications move online the demand for decent editors and journalists goes up, not down.

It is the printing presses and other legacy systems that are getting cut out of the picture as the advertising dollars switch from print to online. Of course this transition is well behind here in NZ so no need to panic

Craplets and responsive advertisng

On April 5th WSJ’s Mossberg slams Windows PC’s [subscription reqd] as coming with ‘craplets’ – or trial software that is crippled. He received massive feedback, and responded on the 12th of April with a follow-up article suggesting a variety of cures, including the ultimate of getting a mac instead.

“So, even my year-old Mac laptop reboots roughly three times as fast as my three-week-old Sony”

On the 14th of April, just 9 days after the first article, Apple releases a new ad, slamming craplets.  A screenshot says it all.

says it all....

Watch the ad

Apple are showing once again how they get the modern way of advertising. It’s about being aware of what you are, what your (potential) customers are  experiencing, and responding with a timely, accurate and succinct message. Timely these days is a lot faster than it used to be…

Since C4 started carrying the Daily Show I’ve now actually started seeing Apple ads on TV, but they seem to have some weird resolution issues and are old. Watching Apple’s advertising online is so much more rewarding

Gliding in….

Apparently, from Wednesday week, some Qantas and AirNZ planes will be gliding into Auckland airport (with jets set on idle) to conserve fuel.

Hopefully they won’t announce the fact to passengers. Or maybe they should announce it to passengers – frequent flyers will know something is up….

” [These planes] typically arrive at times of the day other traffic is light,” said airport spokesman Lew Jenkins.

Which sounds to me like the 6am arrivals from the USA (hence the LATimes scoop)

NYTimes rules

A fantastic indication of the relevance of the NYTimes is in this chart, taken from and excellent post on the state of the Blogosphere by Sifry.

It shows the top sites that bloggers link to – and NYTimes is well ahead of the pack. News.com.au is the only downunder site in the top 100 (that I can see).

It would be interesting to see how this would change if the NYTimes opened up it’s TimeSelect subscription wall that hides the excellent columnists. sifry

why vlogging is limited. for now

Matt Ygelsias, one of the early and influential US political bloggers, introduces his brother Nick, and generously gets upstaged as said brother takes down video-blogging. Essentially watching vlogging is too slow, and too annoying. Nick is right, but then again not everyone is as smart as the Yglesias family, and you have to wonder how many people would prefer to watch rather than read…

Actually you don’t have to wonder – just consider newspaper and TV media consumption. Which begs the question – will the internet make society smarter on average? or are blogs and vlogs the domain of the (former) newspaper readers only?

Sunday Star Times 2, NZHerald 0

First the Sunday Star Times publishes a great editorial lamenting the NZHerald’s decision to outsource their core editorial competency – the sub editors.  The outsourcing, for my mind, seems to be a dumb decision made by an MBA not a newspaperman.

 “Subbing factories will turn out factory newspapers….

Then the Sunday Star Times also publishes excerpts from a rather heavy handed email from an NZHerald on Sunday assistant editor to the woman who released the police group sex video. (Hat tip to Kiwiblog)

“We can play this one of two ways; either with your co-operation or without. “

roll on next Sunday….

The death of magazines? InfoWorld goes online only

US magazine Infoworld is delivering it’s last print copies and publishing online only. They are ahead of the curve, and it is smart thing to do as the technology magazines are increasingly irrelevant in this age of MacRumors, Engadget and DPReview . I can’t recall the last time I purchased a computer magazine, and why bother when the latest news and all the tips and tricks are online?

InfoWorld saw this coming and embraced the web early – publishing all the print content online up to 6 days before the magazine was delivered, but also creating an expanded web presence. This meant moving to daily (or continuous) writing and publishing cycles, embracing blogs and moving into video, podcasts and slideshows.

So goodbye subscription revenue and print advertising, and hello online advertising. From the article:

The ad-driven economic model that supported print magazines for years … … is unraveling. ”

“advertisers want more immediate gratification and measureable results than print can afford them..”

Thus the transition from offline to online can work, albeit only in specialised areas for now. It requires a step up in content production (sounds like more rather than less writers and editors are required), a certain critical mass of online advertising (which we are far from here in NZ), and a gradual transition of content. That last point is important – InfoWorld expanded the online content, audience and advertising while shrinking the same for the magazine. The readers are the final arbiters of when the best time to switch is – they will vote with their reading habits and subscriptions.

“Some things shouldn’t change, however: The basic principle of separation of church and state — that advertisers must not influence what editors say, write, or cover — is still sacrosanct.”

hear hear. The writers and editors continue to write and edit, and indeed can influence a larger audience.

Ominously for other trade magazines, from the comments:

“I had the president of one software company and the marketing VP of another tell me last week that they don’t read print trade rags. Instead they register keywords with our favorite search engine and have content delivered to them”

and for those mired in the past:

“It seems to me that print magazines are kept going after they should have been transitioned to the web because ad agencies and advertisers are slow to change their business habits of creating and buying print ads. Not because consumers are still demanding magazines in their mail boxes.”

This is all too true here in NZ – the dollars go to the same old media where they have always gone, and the media industries accordingly don’t react. The best advertising buying by far at the moment in NZ is for online ads, and smart advertisers (AirNZ springs to mind) are enjoying huge bang for the buck.

It is true that, as several commenter’s to the article noted, that reading on the train, exercycle or “in bed while enjoying being offline” means that print will always have a place. We should remember that Radio didn’t kill Newspapers, nor did TV kill Radio and the Internet isn’t going to be doing any wholesale killing either. However TV did kill huge segments of Radio, such as radio plays, and USA household newspaper penetration has fallen from 130% in the 1920’s to just 53% in 2000. Internet publishing is and will have a seismic effect on old media, and we are continuously learning what is affected and how the endgame will look. Exciting times.
Scoopit!

Wasting space..

Here’s what I received from Dick Smith the other day – 3 batteries, inside a rather large, otherwise empty, box. The transaction was lousy all-round, with slow confirmation, slow delivery and appalling packaging. Lots of room for improvement here…

box